MTB > name c1 'p' c2 'prior' MTB > set c1 DATA> .2 .25 .3 .35 DATA> end MTB > set 'prior' DATA> .25 .25 .25 .25 DATA> end MTB > exec 'p_disc' MTB > ################################################################## MTB > # MACRO 'P_DISC' # MTB > # (CHARACTER GRAPHICS VERSION) # MTB > # -------------------------------------------------------------- # MTB > # INFERENCE ABOUT A BINOMIAL PROPORTION P USING # MTB > # A FINITE COLLECTION OF P MODELS. # MTB > #--------------------------------------------------------------- # MTB > # INPUT: VALUES OF P IN COLUMN 'P' AND PRIOR PROBABILITIES # MTB > # IN COLUMN 'PRIOR' # MTB > # OUTPUT: POSTERIOR PROBABILITIES IN COLUMN 'POST' # MTB > ################################################################## INPUT OBSERVED NUMBER OF SUCCESSES AND FAILURES: DATA> 5 15 Row p prior P_x_PRIO LIKE PRODUCT POST P_x_POST 1 0.20 0.25 0.0500 862742 215686 0.255595 0.051119 2 0.25 0.25 0.0625 1000000 250000 0.296259 0.074065 3 0.30 0.25 0.0750 884011 221003 0.261897 0.078569 4 0.35 0.25 0.0875 628668 157167 0.186249 0.065187 5 0.2750 0.268940 - 0.30+ * - * PROB - * 2 * - 2 * 2 - * * * 0.20+ 2 2 2 - * * 2 2 - 2 * * 2 - * 2 2 3 - 2 * * 2 0.10+ * * 2 2 - 2 2 * 2 - 2 * 2 2 - * * * 2 - 2 2 2 2 0.00+ * * * 2 ------+---------+---------+---------+---------+---------+MODEL 0.210 0.240 0.270 0.300 0.330 0.360