MTB > exec 'p_hist_p' MTB > ################################################################## MTB > # MACRO 'P_HIST_P' # MTB > # -------------------------------------------------------------- # MTB > # LEARNING ABOUT A BINOMIAL PROPORTION P # MTB > # USING A HISTOGRAM PRIOR. # MTB > ################################################################## INPUT INTERVAL MIDPOINTS: DATA> .225 .275 .325 .375 DATA> end INPUT PRIOR PROBABILITIES OF INTERVALS: DATA> .4 .4 .15 .05 INPUT NUMBER OF SIMULATED VALUES: DATA> 1000 INPUT OBSERVED NUMBER OF SUCCESSES AND FAILURES: DATA> 4 36 The prior and posterior probabilities of the intervals: Row MIDS LO HI PRIOR POST 1 0.225 0.20 0.25 0.40 0.821976 2 0.275 0.25 0.30 0.40 0.165562 3 0.325 0.30 0.35 0.15 0.012053 4 0.375 0.35 0.40 0.05 0.000408